Preseason Rankings
George Washington
Atlantic 10
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.9#208
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.0#307
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#217
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#211
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.7% 2.2% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.6 14.9
.500 or above 23.4% 30.8% 10.6%
.500 or above in Conference 26.2% 31.3% 17.3%
Conference Champion 1.5% 1.9% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 20.6% 16.4% 28.0%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
First Round1.6% 2.1% 0.7%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stony Brook (Home) - 63.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.1 - 2.20.1 - 2.2
Quad 1b0.2 - 1.80.3 - 4.0
Quad 20.9 - 4.41.2 - 8.4
Quad 33.4 - 6.74.7 - 15.1
Quad 47.5 - 3.712.1 - 18.9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 222   Stony Brook W 67-66 63%    
  Nov 08, 2018 284   Siena W 68-64 74%    
  Nov 11, 2018 2   @ Virginia L 48-70 1%    
  Nov 17, 2018 19   Michigan L 57-73 7%    
  Nov 18, 2018 61   South Carolina L 61-73 15%    
  Nov 24, 2018 291   Manhattan W 66-62 74%    
  Nov 28, 2018 124   Vermont L 63-69 41%    
  Dec 01, 2018 145   @ Princeton L 64-68 27%    
  Dec 05, 2018 237   Towson W 67-66 65%    
  Dec 08, 2018 120   Valparaiso L 66-72 39%    
  Dec 14, 2018 305   Howard W 75-70 76%    
  Dec 22, 2018 77   @ Harvard L 60-70 14%    
  Dec 29, 2018 242   American W 68-66 65%    
  Jan 06, 2019 106   @ Saint Joseph's L 66-73 19%    
  Jan 09, 2019 107   Dayton L 65-72 38%    
  Jan 12, 2019 130   Richmond L 67-72 42%    
  Jan 16, 2019 166   @ La Salle L 69-72 32%    
  Jan 20, 2019 182   Duquesne L 67-69 53%    
  Jan 23, 2019 88   @ Davidson L 63-71 18%    
  Jan 26, 2019 129   @ George Mason L 68-73 24%    
  Jan 30, 2019 267   Fordham W 66-63 69%    
  Feb 06, 2019 127   Virginia Commonwealth L 68-74 43%    
  Feb 09, 2019 130   @ Richmond L 67-72 24%    
  Feb 13, 2019 71   Saint Louis L 59-69 28%    
  Feb 16, 2019 182   @ Duquesne L 67-69 34%    
  Feb 20, 2019 154   Massachusetts L 67-70 49%    
  Feb 23, 2019 127   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 68-74 25%    
  Feb 26, 2019 103   @ Rhode Island L 65-72 22%    
  Mar 02, 2019 119   St. Bonaventure L 66-72 40%    
  Mar 06, 2019 267   @ Fordham W 66-63 51%    
  Mar 09, 2019 129   George Mason L 68-73 43%    
Projected Record 12.1 - 18.9 6.5 - 11.5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 1.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.3 1.5 0.1 0.0 4.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 5.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 3.1 0.8 0.0 5.5 7th
8th 0.0 1.5 3.8 2.0 0.1 7.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.4 3.0 0.4 0.0 7.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.4 4.6 1.0 0.0 9.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 3.1 4.6 1.9 0.2 10.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.9 3.2 5.0 2.8 0.2 12.1 12th
13th 0.1 1.3 4.1 4.7 2.7 0.4 0.0 13.5 13th
14th 0.9 2.7 4.2 3.9 1.7 0.2 0.0 13.7 14th
Total 0.9 2.8 5.5 8.9 10.4 11.7 12.0 11.8 9.8 8.1 6.6 4.8 2.8 2.0 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 98.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 99.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 74.4% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 45.4% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 16.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 51.9% 50.0% 1.9% 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7%
17-1 0.0% 66.7% 33.3% 33.3% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 50.0%
16-2 0.1% 58.1% 37.5% 20.6% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 33.0%
15-3 0.5% 25.6% 14.8% 10.8% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 12.7%
14-4 1.1% 8.3% 6.8% 1.5% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.6%
13-5 2.0% 10.5% 9.1% 1.4% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.8 1.5%
12-6 2.8% 4.8% 4.7% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.6 0.0%
11-7 4.8% 4.8% 4.8% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.6
10-8 6.6% 2.9% 2.9% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 6.4
9-9 8.1% 2.1% 2.1% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 7.9
8-10 9.8% 1.1% 1.1% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 9.7
7-11 11.8% 1.1% 1.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.7
6-12 12.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1 11.9
5-13 11.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 11.7
4-14 10.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.3
3-15 8.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.9
2-16 5.5% 5.5
1-17 2.8% 2.8
0-18 0.9% 0.9
Total 100% 1.7% 1.6% 0.1% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 98.3 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%